Premier League 2025/26 · MW 35
Betting tips, odds & predictions for England's most decorated derby
Written by: Phil Blackwell • Last updated: 28 April 2026
North West Derby betting, odds & free bets
⭐️ Manchester Utd host Liverpool at Old Trafford on 3rd May with Champions League qualification on the line. Get the latest odds and claim free bets from our verified betting partners below.
Both teams to score
The North West derby always produces goals, with both teams scoring in four of the last five meetings between the sides.
The North West Derby pits two of football’s most successful clubs against each other in a renewal of one of England’s fiercest rivalries.
Just a few points separate Manchester United and Liverpool in the Premier League table, with Champions League places at stake and less than a handful of games remaining.
Michael Carrick has transformed United since taking charge in January, lifting the club from mid-table to European contention. Mo Salah will be making his final appearance for Liverpool at Old Trafford having scored more goals against United (16) than any other player in the history of the fixture.
Below you’ll find our full match preview, analysis of recent form, offers from the best UK betting sites, plus expert betting tips for this pivotal North West clash.
Man Utd
92 derby wins
Liverpool
82 derby wins
🏟️ Old Trafford, Manchester · Capacity: 74,310
A win for either side in May could prove decisive in the race for the top five and United will be confident having won the reverse fixture at Anfield back in October.
Harry Maguire’s late winner earned the Red Devils the points against the reigning Premier League champions.
Liverpool’s away form has been the story of their season, including losses to Bournemouth, Wolves and Brighton, as they continued their slide down the table.
Salah’s record 16 goals against United includes an Old Trafford hat-trick. Can he summon the strength to score another in his curtain call at the Theatre of Dreams?
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Place your bets with confidence for the North West derby between Manchester United and Liverpool using our interactive table below.
Click any betting market name to skip directly to our full betting tip and then click through to see the latest odds. Place your bets before it’s too late.
| Market (Click to bet) | WFW Tip | Conf. |
|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Man Utd to Win | Strong |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | Strong |
| Over/Under Goals | Over 2.5 | Good |
| First Goalscorer | Mohamed Salah | Value |
| Correct Score | Man Utd 2-1 Liverpool | Value |
| Draw No Bet | Man Utd | Strong |
Both clubs are fighting for Champions League qualification as we come into the final stretch and a result here could define their seasons.
Michael Carrick inherited a squad low on belief from Erik ten Hag but has found a system that works. Matheus Cunha has been the standout performer, with Sesko and Amad thriving in a more direct setup. United’s home form has been strong and Old Trafford has rediscovered its voice under the new manager.
Arne Slot’s Liverpool look a different side away from Anfield with just two wins in their last seven away matches. The defensive solidity that underpinned last season’s title success has evaporated, and a midfield that looked world-class on paper has struggled to control games on the road.
The two most successful clubs in the country have met 245 times across all competitions, with Man Utd leading the overall head-to-head stats 92-82 (71 draws).
Liverpool have dominated the recent Premier League era, picking up two titles since United last won it in 2012/13.
The neutral-friendly fixture heavily favours goals. Four of the last five meetings have produced three or more goals, and both teams have scored in all but one of those.
Double Chance - Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS
Four of the last five North West derbies have produced more than three goals with both sides scoring. This fixture has averaged 4.2 goals per game since 2023.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Comp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/25 | LiverpoolLIV | 1-2 | Man UtdMUN | PL |
| 05/01/25 | LiverpoolLIV | 2-2 | Man UtdMUN | PL |
| 01/09/24 | Man UtdMUN | 0-3 | LiverpoolLIV | PL |
| 07/04/24 | Man UtdMUN | 2-2 | LiverpoolLIV | PL |
| 17/03/24 | Man UtdMUN | 4-3 | LiverpoolLIV | FA Cup |
The last three PL meetings between Manchester United and Liverpool at Old Trafford have produced a 0-3 home defeat, a 2-2 draw and an FA Cup classic (4-3).
Liverpool hammered United 5-0 in October 2021, with Salah scoring a hat-trick, but United won the corresponding fixture last season. Goals are almost guaranteed at this stadium with clean sheets a rarity.
92
Man Utd wins (all-time)
1-2
Reverse fixture (Oct. 25)
82
Liverpool wins (all-time)
United’s form since January has been the best in the league, helping to solidify their position in the top five going into the final weeks of the season.
Liverpool’s unreliable away form bounced back in April in the form of a very late injury time winner against Everton in the Merseyside derby.
But there’s no harder place to go than the home of your biggest rivals. Old Trafford will be a cauldron and history tells us Salah will likely score, but we expect United to get over the line.
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Here are the key markets for the 2026 North West derby, with our top expert tips for your bets at WFW Bet.
Match result
💡 WFW tip: Liverpool’s poor away form meets a resurgent United at home at Old Trafford.
💡 WFW tip: Both teams have scored in the four of the last five derbies between Man United and Liverpool.
Over/Under Goals
💡 WFW tip: The last five North West derbies have averaged 4.2 goals per game.
💡 WFW tip: Salah was 1st Goalscorer in the Merseyside derby and we expect a repeat here.
Over/Under Cards
💡 WFW tip: With 19 red cards in the Premier League era, the North West derby is almost guaranteed drama.
💡 WFW tip: Michael Carrick’s home record is strong and should keep the Red Devils from losing.
Derby Double
A data-backed double combining two high-probability legs.
WFW TIP: MUN/Draw (Double Chance) + Over 2.5 Goals
Derby Double
Will Salah’s 17th goal against United bring Liverpool a win? We don’t think so.
WFW TIP: Salah anytime scorer + Man Utd to Win
Combining our best tips into a single bet with our 2026 North West Derby Bet Builder.
Increase your return with by betting on multiple outcomes to happen in one game. Click the button in the table below to load your Man United vs Liverpool Bet Builder into a bet slip automatically at WFW Bet.
This fixture always delivers drama. The BTTS and Over 2.5 Goals legs are backed by the head to head data, while the cards and corners legs reflect the intensity of this rivalry. Salah’s farewell narrative makes him the standout anytime scorer pick.
However, if you want to be bolder and accept more risk, we suggest adding an additional the market of a straight United win. Load this bet builder here.
Prefer to spot your own patterns? Here’s how the last six North West derbies ended, along with notes about what made them unique.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2025 | Liverpool | 1-2 | Man Utd | Maguire late winner at Anfield |
| Jan 2025 | Liverpool | 2-2 | Man Utd | Amad 80th min equaliser |
| Sep 2024 | Man Utd | 0-3 | Liverpool | Diaz x2, Salah – dominant Liverpool display |
| Apr 2024 | Man Utd | 2-2 | Liverpool | Four-goal thriller at Old Trafford |
| Mar 2024 | Man Utd | 4-3 | Liverpool | FA Cup QF classic – seven goals |
| Mar 2023 | Liverpool | 7-0 | Man Utd | Liverpool’s biggest ever win vs United |
The recent history of this fixture is chaotic. Liverpool’s 7-0 demolition of United in 2023 feels like a different era. The last six meetings between the clubs have produced 28 goals. Expect entertainment, even in this Premier League season of set pieces and long throws.
Manchester United vs Liverpool is a rilvary rooted in the industrial competition between the two cities and fuelled by over a century of on-pitch battles.
Between them, the two clubs have won 40 league titles, 21 FA Cups and nine European Cups. Liverpool narrowly lead the overall major trophy count 69-68.
The modern rivalry intensified under Alex Ferguson and has continued through the Klopp and post-Klopp eras. No player has been transferred directly between the clubs since 1964, a testament to the depth of the divide.
Mo Salah (16)
Mohamed Salah is the all-time top scorer in this fixture with 16 goals in 18 appearances, including a hat-trick in Liverpool’s famous 5-0 win at Old Trafford in 2021.
6-1 (May 1928)
United’s record victory over Liverpool came in May 1928 with a 6-1 win at Old Trafford. In the modern era, their biggest win was 4-3 in the 2024 FA Cup quarter-final.
Liverpool 7-0 (Mar. 2023)
Liverpool’s record victory came at Anfield in March 2023. Gakpo, Nunez (x2), Salah (x2), and Firmino all scored in what remains United’s joint-heaviest defeat in history.
Ryan Giggs (48)
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The North West derby on 3 May will be broadcast live on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League.
Kick-off is 15:30 BST. If you’re a subscriber, you may also be able to watch on Sky Go or Now TV with the necessary sports package.
Old Trafford has a capacity of 74,310 and is the largest club football stadium in the UK.
Got questions about the 2026 North West derby? Here’s everything you need to know.
This next North West derby kicks off at 15:30 on Sunday 3 May 2026, at Old Trafford in Manchester.
Man Utd won 2-1 at Anfield in October 2025, with Harry Maguire scoring a late winner. It was United’s first win at Anfield in front of fans since 2016.
You can bet on the North West derby with any UKGC-licensed bookmaker. Our exclusive partners at WFW Bet offer competitive odds and a generous welcome offer for new customers.
The match will be shown live on Sky Sports in the UK.
Very possibly. Mohamed Salah has confirmed he will leave Liverpool at the end of the season. He has scored 16 goals against Man Utd, more than any player in the history of this fixture, including two hat-tricks at Old Trafford.
Michael Carrick was appointed as interim head coach on 13 January 2026, replacing the sacked Ruben Amorim. Carrick has transformed United’s form, with 26 points from his first 12 Premier League games in charge.
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